michael-dean-k/

The narrative of 'new jobs will be created' is bullshit. It won’t be 1-for-1. Past technological revolutions created new machines that still required operators. In this revolution, the invention is automated labor itself. The new jobs will be for people monitoring 300k agent hiveminds, and there won’t be many of them. I think the more realistic narrative is “everyone gets a piece of the hive mind.” You get a cluster, you get a cluster. For cheap, you’ll have your own 20-50 person workforce. The question is, can the average person use that to create economic value? I think the shift actually underway isn’t about “some jobs die and new jobs get made.” I think it’s much more fundamental. Everyone will be thrusted from employee to an employer (of agents). I can imagine these big AI companies arguing against UBI, because they’ll claim they’re giving 7-figures of economic velocity to every person for free, each year (ie: equivalent of a 30 person, $4.5 million payroll). They’re not wrong, but it’s a deceptive frame, because labor doesn’t easily convert to value. In most cases, it will turn out like an army of idiots working on problems that aren’t worth solving. Startup culture will become the dominant culture. If only 1% tap into the right problem and execute on it, WANGMI.